Mafia - The story of Edgeville - Town Square

[shankski]

Ezzardo came up with nothing but blaming me, I guess he made himself bait and others took it.

Hmm, is blaming you a reason for the mob to kill him?
Only if he was onto something...

There were many suspicions and accusations flying around

[Rucious]

Ha? What are u up to?

[shankski]

Well there is many possible reasons why he may have died or it could have just been random.

Was just saying IF that was the reason he was killed he may have been right to accuse you. Otherwise why were other people not killed that blamed you or others?

[Rucious]

shooting at me now shanks? I know where you getting at.

[Shiftey]

doctor's protection was useless for that night

Little bit too informed aren't we? Sounds like mafia if you know that much.

[Tyler]

Shit just got real. We are 2 villagers down, so 9 non-mafia vs 5 mafia. Lets guess that 2 of the 9 are ninjas. We need to lynch someone tonight, or it will be 7-5 and the villagers will be relying on the ninjas.

I think we messed up not lynching someone on the first night. In a game of incomplete information the only thing we can be sure of is the way people vote. Voting records are the only facts that the non-mafia can truly rely on. Even if we had lynched a villager it would have gained us valuable info.

Now the mafia targets were a little strange, they whacked 2 players who had not posted much. Not posting is anti-town. It gives us, the players with the most limited info, nothing to work with. The mob must have thought that Globox was a blue, maybe the cop, so whacked him on that basis. Ezzardo is also an odd choice. He had only posted a couple of times, and said something vague about Rucious. My best guess is that this is some sort of subterfuge. The mob have seem Rucious' odd posting pattern and are trying to frame him.

Now lets look at votes. Cwave, Delling and Nach all altered their vote to Hugman. Now I did make some kind of case against him, but none of those guys did any hand wringing about my logic.

Now I know that some people are using PMs to communicate. I am going to post all my thoughts openly in this thread. We villagers are already far behind in information. More secrecy can only help the mob. If you PM a mobster you can be sure that all the other scum will see it, further increasing the information gap. So I am going to list all my suspicions about all the remaining player, ordered by likelihood of being Mafia.

Archz: I am pretty sure he is the mob. He was very keen for night to come and has not conviced me/changed the subject when I have accused him.

Cwave: Started off on the Rucious bandwagon, switched to Hugman when that one was bigger. Has not really engaged in detective efforts. Guilty I say.

Vorte: Oddly switched vote to Rucious just before time up. No real reason to. Part of the "lynch Rucious" conspiracy I recon. Also was accusing Globox before he died. Has accused Ttam randomly and only really given us gnomic utterances since the killings.

Shankski: Talks a bit but doesn't say much. Looks to me like he is pretending to be involved while not actually interested in the investigation.

Grishnag: Pretty quiet. Not really sure about Grish. Need more info.

TTaM: I am conficted about matt. He could be playing a good mafia game or a bad villager game. Only time will tell.

Delling: Far to quiet. I am not sure if mob or not. Possibly an ninja.

Nachman: Gut feeling he is a ninja too.

Kawe: Also far to quiet. Claims to be doing investigations with PMs. I need more evidence to allay my suspicions.

Rucious: Suspicious because of scatter gun accusations. The main reason I don't suspect him is the Ezzardo thing, looks like he is being set up as the fall guy.

Shiftey: Talks a bit, doesn't say much. He was convinced that Globox was scum, but it turns out he was a blue.

Hugman: Has kinda talked me out of my initial assessment. If he is mafia he is playing a blinder. He is probably a villager. Talks a lot which is good.

Graxlos: Good talker. If he is mafia he is playing the best game of anyone. I'm not ruling that out though, Grax is very smart.

[Shiftey]

After going through all the posts, I have to say Cwave being a mafia is very much a possibility. Any accusations against him were dismissed by comments of burying a body of our priest and waiting (yes he wanted to stall and delay lynching) for another day.

Once some accusations were going on, he jumped on a bandwagon to lynch those people when it was convenient. Mainly speaking of Rucious and Hugman. He also changed his vote accordingly.

I say....

LYNCH HIM!!!!!

[delling2]

Archz is also top of my 'could be a Mafia' list... so... I say LYNCH ARCHZ!

Good analysis, Tyler; and thanks for sharing the data.

Did anyone else accuse Globox before he died? It would make sense that the Mafia were talking about Globox long before he got killed...

[Shift's message just came in.]

LYNCH ARCHZ AND CWAVE!

[Daekesh]

A very nice assessment, Tyler!  I think you've hit the nail on the head with regards to lynching.  Somebody needs to die tonight.  Who, though?  I'd suggest somebody puts a name forward and we just go for it.

[Daekesh]

Well, two people have said Archz now... perhaps we should stick with that?

[delling2]

Safety in numbers, I say. Even if we're wrong... at least we're wrong together.

[Daekesh]

Group hug!

[delling2]

Now that Tyler's been so outspoken, we should definitely try to get him some protection from a doctor, or something.

[Vorte]

My last minute switch to Rucious was because it looked like he slipped up on irc, but it was just misscommunication.. but why would you say I'm coming forth with gnomish gibberish? TTaM lied for no reason, I'm not sure why you'd ignore that completely unless you aim to protect him - if anyone should get lynched tonight it should be TTaM or Tyler, clearly the most outspoken of the mafioso.

[Daekesh]

Remember if you want to lynch somebody, you can only have a maximum of 1 wayward vote... there's already 2!